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AMR Corp Bankruptcy May Still Be an Option 
By: staff reporter, Tom Bustamante

Last Updated: October 18, 2011 - 10:45am EST

(NEW YORK) --For US air carrier AMR Corp (NYSE:
AMR) the prospects for a Chapter 11 pre-package bankruptcy may not just be a rumor swirling around the trading desks, but such a move may be their best bet in trying to lower their operating costs, and turning the airline around.

First off, you have to tip your hat to the airline for trying to be as worker friendly as possible. Many other air carriers filed Bankruptcy years ago to re-negotiate costly labor contracts, but American Airlines is one of the few that hasn't. But how long can that continue?

The Company was hoping to have a labor contract agreement with the pilots union by this weekend, or at least by third quarter earnings, which is expected tomorrow morning before the bell. But talks broke off early Monday with no progress after talking for more then 5 years, and both parties were expected to start-up again later in the week. So plans from the market for AMR to have an agreement with the pilots union by earnings are now off the table.

But AMR would still need to negotiate agreements with their baggage handlers, and transit workers union (TWU), and a deal with the pilots doesn't automatically mean a deal with these other labor groups. Even if AMR were to get large cost cutting give backs from all union members, the costs to AMR may still be too much to continue, and risk the wrath of credit holders after continued and growing net losses to the bottom line.

After five years of talks, and prospects that an agreement with the unions may not help with their legacy costs, filing a pre-package Chapter 11 bankruptcy may be one of the smartest things to do to reorganize the company, renegotiate costly labor contracts, and put the company back on track with the rest of their peers in the industry. This may not be a positive for holders of AMR's common shares, but if the long-term health of the Company is the focus, then a bankruptcy filing may not be something to take off the table right away.

For tomorrows earnings report, analysts are projecting a net loss, excluding special items, of ($0.37) cents per share, on revenue of $6.35 billion for the third quarter, and a net loss of ($1.00) for the fourth quarter 2011.

AMR was last traded at $2.77 per share in early morning trading.


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This research report includes statements that may constitute forward-looking statements made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Although the Company believes that the expectations reflected in such forward-looking statements are based on reasonable assumptions, such statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those projected.

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